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PostPosted: Sun Oct 24, 2004 10:56 am 
This press release speaks for itself.

If this shift is real will it significantly affect the election results?


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PostPosted: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:40 pm 
That press release only says a larger proportion of black voters are planning to vote for Bush now than four years ago. And not by an enormous margin (still less than 20% of the African American population). It doesn't actually say that they're defecting to the religious right (which is not synonymous with "Republican" quite yet).

It's pretty well known that the black population tends to agree with the Republican platform on social issues except as they pertain to race (e.g. anti-homosexuality, pro-"family values", but also pro-affirmative action), and with the Democrats on racial civil rights issues and economics. Environmental issues tend to be a low priority. Two major factors keeping black voters Democratic are tradition and the racist stigma attached to the Republican party (not entirely undeserved, although the Dems probably deserve a bit of it too)—both may be loosening over time.


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PostPosted: Mon Oct 25, 2004 9:01 pm 
I've heard of a better article than this one, but the point is about the same.

There are people who believe that the Democrats *NEED* 90+ percent of the African American vote in order remain viable.

While the percentage from the article I started this thread with is small it is enough to break the 90% figure.


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